The Energy System in 2030

Climate protection, the expansion of renewable energies and sector coupling require a systematic restructuring of the energy system. The power grid plays a key role in this by ensuring the secure integration of renewable generation plants and new consumers live electric vehicles and guarantee a reliable electricity supply. The distribution grid with centralized generation is becoming a network with decentralized players. VDE FNN vision "The Energy System in 2030" describes the path towards this system.

VDE FNN

On this page you will find:

Our goals
Our roadmap "Towards a climate protection grid by 2030"
FNN Scenario 2030
Main topics
Other areas of work

Our goals

We are making the energy system fit for the future: digital, flexible and reliable

Ensure an effective interaction of systems and participants in the power grid and make optimal use of their capabilities
Develop the Smart Metering system as a new part of the infrastructure to bring players in the system together, safely and reliably
Monitor and maintain reliability at a constant level despite increasing complexity of the grid

We bring the energy transition to the customer

Drive customer value for new energy world by enabling each customer to contribute to flexibility and reducing complexity in the system
Ensure an optimal involvement of all stakeholders and accelerate the implementation through technical rules and targeted measures
Promote standardised interfaces which are manufacturer-independent and compatible with different systems

We design a sustainable grid operation and contribute to climate neutrality

Optimize service life and environmental sustainability of plants to be upgradable, modular and contribute to the circular economy
Classify potential minimization of grid losses and implement sustainable path management strategies as well as improve sustainable maintenance of network equipment
Help shape the framework:
- Contribute to European standards and solutions as a basis for the development of the power grid
- Manage and accelerate the integration of renewable energies transparently

Graphics on the action priorities

Towards a “climate protection grid” by 2030 - our roadmap

VDE FNN has defined its vision for the energy system in 2030 through a roadmap, which provides concrete details from VDE FNN continuous work and points to solutions for the challenges ahead.

Our main action points are:

Supporting the system transformation while ensuring a secure and reliable energy supply
Bringing the energy transition to the customer
Developing grid operation in a climate-friendly and sustainable way

No system design without rulemaking

VDE FNN has developed the so-called "FNN Scenario" to ensure that technical regulation is developed consistently and with foresight. To this end, FNN experts regularly analyze existing scenarios and resolutions, such as the grid development plan of the Federal Network Agency, climate summits and targets for electric mobility, and develop them further. The scenario for 2030 contains concrete assumptions for system-relevant variables such as gross electricity consumption, the number of electric vehicles on the streets and the performance of storage systems and power-to-X plants. The scenario compares to data from 2018 and presents variables in different categories: generation, load, flexibility and infrastructure. The 2030 scenario lays out the assumptions onto which VDE FNN bases its work on rulemaking. This provides the energy sector with orientation as well as planning and investment security. The 2030 scenario is the basis for the work of VDE FNN together with the roadmap "From grid to system", which was presented at the 2017 congress and has been continuously implemented since then.

The VDE FNN Sensitivity column describes the topics which are influenced by the changes in the key parameters of the scenarios. Areas of work such as the regulation framework or technical requirements for e-mobility must adapt to the evolving system. VDE FNN continuously monitors these developments and proposes solutions for the energy system by 2030.

FNN Scenario 2030

	2018	2030	VDE FNN Sensitivity
RES share	38 %³	65 %^KoaV	Regulatory framework, support schemes and market incentives
Gross electricity consumption	599 TWh³	590 TWh¹	Regulatory framework, support schemes and market incentives
SAIDI	15 min⁸	15 min	Regulatory framework, support schemes and market incentives
Number of electrical vehicles	0,054 million⁴	10 million¹⁰	Evolution of charging power and capacity
Generation			Regulatory framework, support schemes and market incentives
Conventional (incl. CHP) LV/MV/HV/EHV	104 GW³ -/+/++/+++	73 GW¹ -/+/+/+
Regenerative LV/MV/HV/EHV of which not dependent on supply in %.	120 GW³ +/+/+/+ 12 %	203 GW¹ ++/++/++/++ 6 %
Consumption			Efficiency, dissemination of new technologies, regulatory framework, support schemes, market incentives, evolution of charging performance and capacity
Maximum load	79 GW¹¹	81 GW²
Domestic heat pumps	10 GW⁷	14 GW⁶
Charging capacity for e-mobility LV/MV in %	250 MW 88%/12%⁹	10 GW 80%/20%
Flexibility			Regulatory framework, promotion and market incentives, Development Technology
Storage [PV, WP, V2G] LV/MV in % of which controllable load according to § 14a EnWG	2 GW 80%/20% < 10%	8 GW¹ 80%/20% 70%
Storage as grid resource (e.g. grid booster) LV/MV in %	0 GW 0%/0%	2 GW¹ 20%/80%
Power-to-X	3 GW	18-25 GW
Infrastructure
Communication platform rollout (Smart Metering System)	0%	50%